Wednesday, November 13, 2013

RUBY RANKINGS Week 11: NCAA FBS College Football Rankings!

Fake reason I didn't update/publish these until today, as opposed to the usual Monday-after:

The results of the weekend were so enormous as to demand an extra 2 days of attention and calculation.

Real reason: I was tired. I have "lots" of schoolwork. And it wasn't convenient until today.

All of that being said, there were obviously some big results this past week, with Alabama sticking it to LSU, Stanford dashing Oregon's dreams for the second year in a row (it's the FBS version of Shippensburg-Bloomsburg!), and Baylor opening a lot of eyes against the Sooners.

Before you look at this week's Top 10, take a look at last week's HERE and try to predict for yourself.

The basics of the RUBY RANKINGS are as follows:

1) The 126 FBS teams are roughly scaled from 0 (a bottom-five, roughly winless team) to 1000 (a BCS Championship Favorite).

2) The ranking takes into account wins/losses, strength of schedule, and statistics.

3) The rankings are updated weekly.

WEEK 11 RUBY RANKINGS:

Ranking #. Team (W-L): Score (RANK Change from Last Week)

1. Florida State (9-0): 999 (=)
2. Alabama (9-0): 928 (+1)
3. Baylor (8-0): 922 (+2)
4. Ohio State (9-0): 900 (=)
5. Oregon (8-1): 882 (-3)
6. Stanford (8-1): 854 (+2)
7. Missouri (9-1): 839 (-1)
8. Arizona State (7-2): 838 (-1)
9. Clemson (8-1): 798 (=)
10. Auburn (9-1): 787 (+2)
11. Wisconsin (7-2): 748 (+9)
12. Virginia Tech (7-3): 745 (+19)
13. South Carolina (7-2): 738 (+2)
14. BYU (6-3): 733 (-3)
15. Texas A&M (8-2): 732 (+1)
16. UCLA (7-2): 726 (+3)
17. Oklahoma (7-2): 720 (-7)
18. Michigan State (8-1): 711 (=)
19. UCF (7-1): 710 (+11)
20. Louisville (8-1): 707 (-6)
21. Washington (6-3): 701 (+2)
22. Georgia Tech (6-3): 684 (+2)
23. Georgia (6-3): 682 (-6)
24. Mississippi (6-3): 677 (-2)
25. Miami (FL) (7-2): 672 (-12)
26. Oklahoma State (8-1): 671 (+1)
27. Nebraska (7-2): 654 (+10)
28. Houston (7-2): 653 (+1)
29. LSU (7-3): 648 (-3)
30. USC (7-3): 647 (-5)
31. East Carolina (7-2): 639 (+5)
32. Fresno State (9-0): 639 (+6)
33. Michigan (6-3): 635 (-5)
34. Notre Dame (7-3): 627 (-13)
35. Texas (7-2): 624 (-2)
36. Minnesota (8-2): 611 (+4)
37. Northern Illinois (9-0): 605 (+2)
38. Arizona (6-3): 604 (-6)
39. North Texas (7-3): 583 (+3)
40. Duke (7-2): 570 (+4)
41. Pittsburgh (5-4): 569 (+17)
42. Utah (4-5): 567 (-1)
43. Texas Tech (7-3): 555 (-9)
44. Iowa (6-4): 554 (+1)
45. Louisiana-Lafayette (7-2): 546 (+1)
46. Ball State (9-1): 545 (+2)
47. Mississippi State (4-5): 540 (-4)
48. Florida (4-5): 538 (-13)
49. Marshall (6-3): 531 (+5)
50. Utah State (6-4): 523 (-3)
51. North Carolina (4-5): 522 (+4)
52. Oregon State (6-3): 516 (-3)
53. Kansas State (5-4): 516 (+12)
54. Toledo (7-3): 512 (-3)
55. Boise State (6-3): 509 (-5)
56. Vanderbilt (5-4): 509 (+5)
57. Buffalo (7-3): 504 (+11)
58. Rice (6-3): 496 (-2)
59. Indiana (4-5): 496 (+1)
60. Penn State (5-4): 495 (-7)
61. Tennessee (4-6): 487 (-9)
62. Syracuse (5-4): 477 (+5)
63. Navy (5-4): 459 (-1)
64. Northwestern (4-5): 459 (+2)
65. Boston College (5-4): 455 (-2)
66. Ohio (6-4): 451 (-7)
67. Arkansas State (5-4): 451 (+8)
68. Maryland (5-4): 438 (-11)
69. San Jose State (5-4): 418 (-5)
70. Washington State (4-5): 415 (=)
71. Middle Tennessee (6-4): 410 (+10)
72. Rutgers (5-3): 409 (-3)
73. Bowling Green (7-3): 408 (+1)
74. Florida Atlantic (3-6): 406 (-2)
75. UTSA (5-5): 394 (+9)
76. TCU (4-6): 389 (-5)
77. Tulane (6-4): 389 (+2)
78. Cincinnati (7-2): 388 (+4)
79. West Virginia (4-6): 373 (-2)
80. Western Kentucky (6-4): 364 (+3)
81. North Carolina State (3-6): 364 (+7)
82. San Diego State (5-4): 361 (+10)
83. Wake Forest (4-6): 355 (-6)
84. Arkansas (3-7): 355 (+1)
85. Texas State (6-3): 347 (-1)
86. Colorado (3-6): 345 (-13)
87. UNLV (5-5): 328 (=)
88. Old Dominion (7-3): 328 (+5)
89. Colorado State (5-5): 327 (+5)
90. Louisiana-Monroe (5-5): 323 (-12)
91. Virginia (2-8): 320 (-11)
92. Memphis (2-6): 313 (-1)
93. Wyoming (4-5): 303 (-3)
94. Illinois (3-6): 301 (-5)
95. Troy (5-5): 298 (+2)
96. South Alabama (3-5): 286 (=)
97. Kentucky (2-7): 283 (+3)
98. SMU (3-5): 275 (=)
99. Akron (3-7): 269 (=)
100. Nevada (3-7): 255 (-5)
101. Kansas (2-7): 250 (=)
102. Army (3-7): 225 (=)
103. Central Michigan (3-6): 192 (=)
104. California (1-9): 191 (+2)
105. South Florida (2-6): 190 (-1)
106. Tulsa (2-7): 190 (+1)
107. Purdue (1-8): 185 (-2)
108. New Mexico (3-6): 180 (+4)
109. Louisiana Tech (4-5): 151 (+4)
110. Iowa State (1-8): 145 (-2)
111. Kent State (2-8): 128 (-1)
112. UAB (2-7): 123 (-3)
113. Air Force (2-8): 93 (-2)
114. Idaho (1-9): 87 (+1)
115. Temple (1-8): 78 (-1)
116. Hawai'i (0-9): 71 (=)
117. Connecticut (0-8): 59 (+1)
118. Eastern Michigan (2-8): 57 (-1)
119. UTEP (1-8): 38 (+1)
120. New Mexico State (1-9): 22 (+2)
121. Western Michigan (1-9): 16 (=)
122. Southern Mississippi (0-9): 10 (-3)
123. Massachusetts (1-8): -14 (+1)
124. Florida International (1-8): -51 (-1)
125. Georgia State (0-9): -114 (=)
126. Miami (OH) (0-9): -126 (=)

BIG MOVERS AND OTHER NOTES

Obviously, the stories of the week really took place on Thursday. One would not be silly to question how #5 Oregon could still be ranked ahead of #6 Stanford when the Cardinal just manhandled the Ducks for the second consecutive year. It is true that, match-up-wise, Stanford would likely win more than 50% of their games against the Ducks over the long stretch. But these rankings are supposed to reflect general ability. Think of it this way: Oregon's worst game this year was a loss to the #6 team in the country. Stanford's worst game this year was a loss to the #42 team in the country (Utah). Stanford's high might be higher than Oregon, but their low is lower too. The numbers punch out so that they're close enough the difference isn't particularly meaningful anyway.

On the other side of the coin, #3 Baylor impressed, hurdling #4 Ohio State and pulling virtually even with #2 Alabama. I was not surprised that the Bears put up 41; what shocked me was that they held Oklahoma to 12. Note that #57 Buffalo, #79 West Virginia, #53 Kansas State, and #101 Kansas all scored more than that against Baylor. Those were, for the most part, though, games in which Baylor had their scrubs in at halftime. They knew the game on Thursday night was one of the most important in program history, and they dominated every phase of the game. So, say it with me, slowly: The Baylor Bears... are legitimate... BCS Title Contenders. Wow.

#12 Virginia Tech can't figure out what they're doing. They lose to #65 Boston College, dropping 14 spots, and then maul #25 Miami (FL) to jump back up 19 spots. The win itself shouldn't have done that, but VaTech got the kind of boost that is pretty unique to an RPI system: every team on their schedule-to-date that played last week won, including Alabama over #29 LSU and a surprising #41 Pittsburgh over #34 Notre Dame.

#19 UCF also jumped way up with their win in the de facto AAC championship playoff, leap-frogging #20 Louisville, who underwhelmed in their win over #117 Connecticut. The Knights will be a bit out of place in a BCS game, but not incredibly so. I presume they've already clinched such a berth, because the only realistic way they can lose it to Louisville is if the Knights lose two of four against #115 Temple, #72 Rutgers, #105 South Florida, and #98 SMU (lord, the AAC is bad).

Watch out, here comes: #53 Kansas State. The Wildcats have won 3 in a row to get on the right side of .500, and should finish the season 7-5, with #76 TCU at home, #17 Oklahoma at home, and #101 Kansas on the road. After a season-opening loss to FCS squad North Dakota State, an FCS Championship contender that was ranked 30th of all teams in the country, just between Utah and Texas, by Jeff Sagarin's most recent rankings, the Wildcats have cobbled together a respectable season for having lost Colin Klein to graduation, which might have been as big a loss of total offense due to a single graduation in a long, long time.

Watch out, there goes: #68 Maryland. The Terps started 4-0, which got them a little number next to their name. Then, #1 Florida State beat them 63-0, the worst loss ever by a team with a little number next to its name. Since then, their only win is over lowly #91 Virginia, 27-26 at home. After the 4-0 start, the most likely finish would be weak bowl eligibility at 6-6. This presumes a win out of three games against Virginia Tech, Boston College, and #81 North Carolina State; at this point, there is no guarantee of such.

TOP/BOTTOM 10 RPI PROFILES:

1. Stanford
2. Alabama
3. Florida State
4. Arizona State
5. Missouri
6. Auburn
7. Virginia Tech
8. South Carolina
9. Ohio State
10. Oklahoma
...
117. Connecticut
118. Temple
119. Air Force
120. UTEP
121. Western Michigan
122. Florida International
123. Louisiana Tech
124. Massachusetts
125. Miami (OH)
126. Georgia State

TOP/BOTTOM 10 STATISTICAL PROFILES

1. Baylor
2. Florida State
3. Oregon
4. Ohio State
5. Louisville
6. Alabama
7. Wisconsin
8. Michigan State
9. Missouri
10. Northern Illinois
...
117. Western Michigan
118. Georgia State
119. Massachusetts
120. Eastern Michigan
121. New Mexico State
122. Idaho
123. Miami (OH)
124. Purdue
125. Florida International
126. Southern Mississippi

No comments:

Post a Comment